a guess based on knowledge and experience, making it more likely to be correct
An educated guess, based on today, says more than $100 billion.
Even the CBO would (and frequently does) acknowledge that its scores represent only an educated guess.
A rapid mental calculation—an educated guess, rather—and he set the automatic control.
Therefore, an educated guess was made to arrive at the number, 285.
noun phrase
A guess made with some basis of fact and knowledge: Economists offer some educated guesses on why the adjustment in unemployment is so skewed (1954+)