The probability of arresting a suspect in new crimes falls as databases grow, likely due to selection effects.
As of today, Nate Silver puts the probability of Obama winning the state at 86.7 percent.
The volunteers estimated the probability that each unfortunate event would befall them.
One possibility would be to map areas where models show the probability of a tornado is increasing.
Intrade, for instance, pegged the probability at roughly 20%.
As to the probability of there being other survivors than ourselves, I doubt it.
The probability was that she had no one to blame but herself—if fault there was.
Pauper emigrants would not, in all probability, be allowed to land.
The probability was, that a few hours would end the struggle.
There was a similar opposition, with probability and custom on its side, to the theory of Copernicus.
mid-15c., "quality of being probable," from Old French probabilite (14c.) and directly from Latin probabilitatem (nominative probabilitas) "credibility, probability," from probabilis (see probable). Meaning "something likely to be true" is from 1570s; mathematical sense is from 1718.
A number expressing the likelihood of the occurrence of a given event, especially a fraction expressing how many times the event will happen in a given number of tests or experiments. For example, when rolling a six-sided die, the probability of rolling a particular side is 1 in 6, or 1/6 .
A number between zero and one that shows how likely a certain event is. Usually, probability is expressed as a ratio: the number of experimental results that would produce the event divided by the number of experimental results considered possible. Thus, the probability of drawing the ten of clubs from an ordinary deck of cards is one in fifty-two (1:52), or one fifty-second.