base rate fallacy

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noun

statistics the tendency, when making judgments of the probability with which an event will occur, to ignore the base rate and to concentrate on other information

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QUIZ YOURSELF ON "WAS" VS. "WERE"!

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Question 1 of 7

“Was” is used for the indicative past tense of “to be,” and “were” is only used for the subjunctive past tense.

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Words nearby base rate fallacy

base pay, base period, baseplate, base price, base rate, base rate fallacy, base runner, bases, Basescu, base speed, base station

Collins English Dictionary - Complete & Unabridged 2012 Digital Edition © William Collins Sons & Co. Ltd. 1979, 1986 © HarperCollins Publishers 1998, 2000, 2003, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2009, 2012

How to use base rate fallacy in a sentence

Historically the reelection rate for members of Congress is in the area of 95 percent.
The Unbearable Whiteness of Congress|Dean Obeidallah|January 8, 2015|DAILY BEAST
Paperback publishers distributed their titles in African-American neighborhoods because it expanded their market base.
How Pulp Fiction Saved Literature|Wendy Smith|January 8, 2015|DAILY BEAST
With a mortality rate of 70 percent, the more cases that arise, the deadlier this epidemic becomes.
The Race for the Ebola Vaccine|Abby Haglage|January 7, 2015|DAILY BEAST
If ISIS “came into a base and killed hundreds of troops, then people would ask a lot more questions.”
Pentagon Doesn’t Know How Many People It’s Killed in the ISIS War|Nancy A. Youssef|January 7, 2015|DAILY BEAST

The accident rate in Asia has marred what was in 2014 a banner year for aviation safety.
Annoying Airport Delays Might Prevent You From Becoming the Next AirAsia 8501|Clive Irving|January 6, 2015|DAILY BEAST
The upper part of the stem is usually unbranched, but whorls of branches occur towards the base.
How to Know the Ferns|S. Leonard Bastin
In future years the poor-rate (so-called) will include, in addition to these, all other rates levyable by the Corporation.
Showell's Dictionary of Birmingham|Thomas T. Harman and Walter Showell
It is a vile world because it is an under-educated world, unreasonable, suspicious, base and ferocious.
The Salvaging Of Civilisation|H. G. (Herbert George) Wells
At any rate his stirring advice and the dispatches he brought roused the military authorities at Meerut into activity.
The Red Year|Louis Tracy
If we turn again in a new direction, it will at any rate not be in the direction of a return to autocratic mediævalism.
The Unsolved Riddle of Social Justice|Stephen Leacock