base rate fallacy

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noun

statistics the tendency, when making judgments of the probability with which an event will occur, to ignore the base rate and to concentrate on other information

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“Was” is used for the indicative past tense of “to be,” and “were” is only used for the subjunctive past tense.

true

false

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Words nearby base rate fallacy

base pay, base period, baseplate, base price, base rate, base rate fallacy, base runner, bases, Basescu, base speed, base station

Collins English Dictionary - Complete & Unabridged 2012 Digital Edition © William Collins Sons & Co. Ltd. 1979, 1986 © HarperCollins Publishers 1998, 2000, 2003, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2009, 2012

Example sentences from the Web for base rate fallacy

Historically the reelection rate for members of Congress is in the area of 95 percent.
The Unbearable Whiteness of Congress|Dean Obeidallah|January 8, 2015|DAILY BEAST
Paperback publishers distributed their titles in African-American neighborhoods because it expanded their market base.
How Pulp Fiction Saved Literature|Wendy Smith|January 8, 2015|DAILY BEAST
With a mortality rate of 70 percent, the more cases that arise, the deadlier this epidemic becomes.
The Race for the Ebola Vaccine|Abby Haglage|January 7, 2015|DAILY BEAST
If ISIS “came into a base and killed hundreds of troops, then people would ask a lot more questions.”
Pentagon Doesn’t Know How Many People It’s Killed in the ISIS War|Nancy A. Youssef|January 7, 2015|DAILY BEAST

The accident rate in Asia has marred what was in 2014 a banner year for aviation safety.
Annoying Airport Delays Might Prevent You From Becoming the Next AirAsia 8501|Clive Irving|January 6, 2015|DAILY BEAST
The upper part of the stem is usually unbranched, but whorls of branches occur towards the base.
How to Know the Ferns|S. Leonard Bastin
In future years the poor-rate (so-called) will include, in addition to these, all other rates levyable by the Corporation.
Showell's Dictionary of Birmingham|Thomas T. Harman and Walter Showell
It is a vile world because it is an under-educated world, unreasonable, suspicious, base and ferocious.
The Salvaging Of Civilisation|H. G. (Herbert George) Wells
At any rate his stirring advice and the dispatches he brought roused the military authorities at Meerut into activity.
The Red Year|Louis Tracy
If we turn again in a new direction, it will at any rate not be in the direction of a return to autocratic mediævalism.
The Unsolved Riddle of Social Justice|Stephen Leacock

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base rate fallacy

noun

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Words nearby base rate fallacy

Example sentences from the Web for base rate fallacy