confidence interval

American  

[kon-fi-duhns in-ter-vuhl] / ˈkɒn fɪ dəns ˌɪn tər vəl /

noun

Statistics.

1. a range of values above and below a given statistic, with a specified probability that the true value falls within that range: the span of the interval is equal to twice the margin of error.

   An overview of 20 studies revealed that calcium supplements reduced the risk of total fracture, showing a relative risk of 0.89 with a 95% confidence interval of 0.81 to 0.96.

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confidence interval British  

noun

1. statistics an interval of values bounded by confidence limits within which the true value of a population parameter is stated to lie with a specified probability

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Etymology

Origin of confidence interval

First recorded in 1930–35

Example Sentences

In most science studies, a confidence interval usually refers to a summary or combined statistic, not individual data points.

From Science Daily • Nov. 9, 2023

While letting its topline numbers for the city and county stand without qualification, LAHSA’s report provided a confidence interval for the total count in its administrative area covering all of L.A.

From Los Angeles Times • Jun. 29, 2023

But because the lower bound of the confidence interval around this figure fell below FDA’s required 20%, it didn’t meet the agency’s efficacy standard for preventing less severe disease.

From Science Magazine • May 18, 2023

Polling firm McLaughlin & Associates conducted the online poll of 1,000 general election voters and said it had an accuracy of +/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval.

From Washington Times • Jan. 31, 2023

Thus, we might say that a 95 percent confidence interval for the percentage of voters favoring candidate X is 45 percent plus or minus 6 percent.

From "Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences" by John Allen Paulos