crapshoot

[ krap-shoot ]

/ ˈkræpˌʃut /

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noun

Informal. anything unpredictable, risky, or problematical; gamble.

verb (used without object), crap·shot, crap·shoot·ing.

to play craps.

Informal. to take risks; gamble.

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Origin of crapshoot

First recorded in 1970–75; crap² + shoot¹

Applications to such schools are a crapshoot, but so is much of life.
Do ultra-selective colleges change lives? I say usually not, but this much richer author says yes.|Jay Mathews|February 27, 2022|Washington Post
In other words, which films actually make it to theaters and how successful they’ll be alongside a streaming release is something of “a crapshoot,” Levin said.
Red Notice is a huge hit for Netflix. But what does that actually mean?|Aja Romano|November 22, 2021|Vox
Moving that many books requires dedicated trucks, which is currently the biggest crapshoot component of the whole supply chain.
Will supply chain issues affect the books you want? Depends on what you’re reading.|Jenna Schnuer|October 21, 2021|Popular-Science
Until recently, guided skiing in the United States was a crapshoot.
It’s Time to Embrace Ski Guiding|Marc Peruzzi|February 26, 2021|Outside Online

Some locations are a total crapshoot when it comes to speed, sometimes even falling behind their older 4G LTE counterparts.
There Are Perfectly Good Reasons to Upgrade to an iPhone 12. 5G Isn't One of Them|Patrick Lucas Austin|October 14, 2020|Time